Buffalo residents are being urged to prepare for potential flooding as warming temperatures, melting snow, and incoming rain combine to create dangerous conditions across the region. The National Weather Service has issued a Hazardous Weather Outlook for Buffalo and surrounding areas, warning that ice jam flooding and swollen rivers could result in significant water buildup in low-lying neighborhoods. This situation is expected to worsen as a storm system brings steady rain and mild temperatures over the next two days. Meteorologists say that a rapid rise in temperatures will cause massive snowmelt, sending excess water into already full streams and rivers. Combined with up to an inch of rainfall, the risk of flooded roads, basements, and even evacuations is increasing.
Whatโs Happening? Breaking Down the Flood Risk
Buffaloโs typical winter landscape is covered in deep snow, but the recent shift toward spring-like temperatures is melting that snow at an alarming rate. When that melting snow mixes with additional rainfall, drainage systems and rivers can quickly become overwhelmed, leading to flooding in some areas.
- Ice Jam Flooding: As frozen rivers and creeks begin to thaw, large chunks of ice can break loose and block water flow, leading to sudden, severe flooding in some neighborhoods.
- Urban and Street Flooding: With drainage systems still clogged from winter debris, heavy rain combined with melting snow could result in flooded streets and stranded vehicles.
- Basement Flooding: Homes in low-lying areas or near rivers could see water seeping into basements, causing property damage and safety risks.

Detailed Forecast for March 4-5
- Tuesday, March 4: Cloudy skies with scattered rain showers. Temperatures rising into the mid-40s, increasing snowmelt.
- Wednesday, March 5: Heavy rain expected throughout the day, with thunderstorms possible in the afternoon. High temperatures near 50ยฐF will intensify flooding risks.
How to Stay Safe Before, During, and After the Flooding
With severe weather approaching, Buffalo residents should take immediate precautions to protect their homes and families.
- Monitor Weather Alerts: Stay tuned to the National Weather Service and local news for the latest updates.
- Prepare Your Home: Clear snow from around your homeโs foundation and check your sump pump to prevent basement flooding.
- Have an Emergency Kit Ready: Stock up on water, non-perishable food, medications, and flashlights in case of power outages.
- Avoid Flooded Roads: Do not drive through standing water! Just one foot of moving water can sweep a car away.
- Check on Neighbors: Elderly and at-risk individuals may need assistance in case of evacuations or power failures.
Whatโs Next?
Flood risks will likely peak on Wednesday evening before colder air returns later in the week, helping slow down further snowmelt. However, the damage could already be done by then, with homes, businesses, and roads suffering the consequences of rising water levels. Authorities urge residents to take this situation seriously and prepare for the possibility of flash flooding. Stay safe, Buffalo! Be prepared, stay informed, and take action before itโs too late.