A powerful storm system is expected to impact San Juan County on Tuesday, March 4, bringing severe thunderstorms, damaging winds, flash flooding, and even isolated tornadoes. Residents should prepare now as conditions could deteriorate rapidly, making travel dangerous and increasing the risk of property damage. The National Weather Service has issued a Severe Thunderstorm Watch for the region, warning that strong winds, heavy rain, and large hail could strike throughout the day. Officials urge residents to take action now to secure their homes, gather emergency supplies, and stay informed about real-time weather updates.
What’s Coming? Understanding the Major Weather Threats
The combination of a cold front and warm, moisture-rich air is creating the perfect conditions for severe storms capable of rapidly intensifying.
- Flash Flooding Risk: Heavy rain falling within a short period could overwhelm drainage systems, leading to dangerous flash floods in low-lying and urban areas. Rapid water rise may trap vehicles and cause road closures.
- Damaging Winds: Gusts could reach 65 mph, strong enough to uproot trees, damage homes, and cause widespread power outages. Flying debris will pose an additional risk.
- Tornado Possibility: Though rare in New Mexico, the conditions could support isolated tornadoes, particularly in open desert areas where wind circulation can develop rapidly.
- Hail Threat: Hailstones up to the size of golf balls could damage cars, rooftops, and windows, making outdoor conditions extremely hazardous.

Detailed Forecast for Tuesday, March 4
- Morning: Cloudy with increasing winds, scattered showers possible.
- Afternoon: Thunderstorms strengthen, with the potential for damaging winds, hail, and tornado development.
- Evening: Peak storm impact – flash flooding likely, tornadoes possible, and travel conditions deteriorate significantly.
- Overnight: Storms begin to weaken, but flooded roads and power outages may linger.
How to Stay Safe Before, During, and After the Storm
With severe weather imminent, residents should take immediate precautions:
- Stay Informed: Keep up with weather alerts via local news, the National Weather Service, and emergency notifications. Storms can strengthen quickly, so monitor updates frequently.
- Prepare an Emergency Kit: Have flashlights, extra batteries, bottled water, non-perishable food, medications, and first aid supplies in case of power outages or evacuation.
- Secure Outdoor Objects: Bring in patio furniture, trash cans, and decorations to prevent them from being blown away by strong winds.
- Avoid Flooded Roads: Never attempt to drive through standing water! Even six inches of fast-moving water can knock a person down, and one foot can carry away a car.
- Know Your Shelter Plan: If a tornado warning is issued, immediately take shelter in an interior room or basement away from windows and exterior walls.
What’s Next?
Although the storm system is expected to move out of the area by Wednesday morning, its impact could last for days. Flooded streets, downed power lines, and widespread debris could delay recovery efforts, and some areas may remain without power for an extended period. Officials strongly urge residents to take this storm seriously and avoid unnecessary travel until conditions improve. The situation is rapidly changing, and the storm’s intensity could increase without warning.